Python
suislanchez/polymarket-kalshi-weather-bot
Multi-platform prediction market trading bot: trades weather temperature markets on Kalshi (KXHIGH series) and Polymarket using 31-member GFS ensemble forecasts + BTC 5-min microstructure signals. Kelly criterion sizing, signal calibration, React dashboard. (Highest profits $1.8k)
★ 805
Stars
196 forks · 70 open issues
+1.1/day
Growth · measured
Stars counted between two of our own snapshots roughly a week apart. The repository page gives the exact span.
15.7
Momentum / 100
see the breakdown below
9mo ago
Created
last push 8mo ago
Star history
How this score was built
| Component | Weight | Earned | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Velocity | 55 | 6.3 | +1.1/day, log-scaled against a 750/day ceiling |
| Acceleration | 15 | 0.9 | last week ran 1.06× the monthly pace |
| Freshness | 15 | 0.0 | last push 8mo ago; decays to zero at 180 days |
| Scale | 15 | 8.4 | 805 stars, log-scaled against 150k — stops a 3-star repo topping the board |
| Momentum | 100 | 15.7 | sum of the above |
Detail
| Topics | ensemble-forecastingfastapikalshikelly-criterionpolymarketprediction-marketspythonreacttrading-bottypescriptweather |
| Matched on | Finance (trading-bot) |
| Short window | +8 stars over 7 days = 1.1/day |
| Long window | +28 stars over 26 days = 1.1/day |
| Lifetime average | 3.01 stars/day over 268 days |
| First seen here | 2026-10-11 |
| Last read | 2d ago |